ALLIGATORS IN A HELICOPTER

a pro script reader ponders movies, reading, writing and the occasional personal flashback

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Oscar Predictions 2008

Feel free to use this for any Oscar pool. You can tip me if you win.

Best Picture: Though recent years have made this increasingly unpredictable, I think it's going to be No Country For Old Men, as flawed as it is.

Best Actor: Daniel Day Lewis, in a walk.

Best Actress: Though I didn't see La Vie en Rose or Away From Her (or The Savages or Elizabeth: The Golden Age), I'm going to have to guess that Julie Christie will edge Marion Cotilliard here.

Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem, no question.

Best Supporting Actress: This may be the hardest category to pick, particularly for me, since all I saw of these performances was Tilda Swinton's in Michael Clayton. But I'm going to guess it'll be Amy Ryan for Gone Baby Gone.

Best Director: Joel and Ethan Coen.

Best Foreign Language Film: I haven't seen any of these either. Let's say Katyn.

Best Adapted Screenplay: No Country For Old Men.

Best Original Screenplay: Juno.

Best Animated Feature Film: Ratatouille.

Best Cinematography. There Will Be Blood.

Best Documentary: No End in Sight.

Feel free to post your predictions --

10 Comments:

At 1:30 PM, Blogger Matt said...

I think you're probably pretty close to being dead on, though I think the best supporting actor/actress awards could be a surprise. Back up picks for me would be Hal Holbrook and Cate Blanchett, but a lot of people are betting on Tilda Swinton.

I just don't see what was so special about the Juno screenplay. Good movie, but I think the script is extremely overrated.

 
At 1:52 PM, Blogger Tavis said...

Actor: Day-Lewis
Supporting Actor: Bardem
Actress: Christie
Supporting Actress: Dee
Animated Feature Film: Ratatouille
Art Direction: There Will Be Blood
Cinematography: No Country
Costume Design: Sweeney Todd
Directing: Coen bros.
Film Editing: No Country
Foreign Language Film: Counterfeiters
Makeup: La Vie En Rose
Music (Score): Atonement
Music (Song): Once
Best Picture: No Country
Sound Editing: No Country
Sound Mixing: Bourne
Visual Effects: Pirates
Writing (Adapted Screenplay): No Country
Writing (Original Screenplay): Juno

What might win-- not necessarily what I want to win. I'd be happy with big wins for No Country-- and I hope Michael Clayton gets something, but it doesn't seem likely.

 
At 4:22 PM, Blogger E.C. Henry said...

Scott, suprised at all the "No Country for Old Men" picks, when, from a past post, it didn't sound like you really liked the movie.

Did you see "Juno?" I saw it last weeked and the story kinda stuck with me. Billy Mernit was right, there is a VERY SWEET teenage love story in it. "Juno" starts off as a coming of age movie and morhs into a romantic comedy. Storywise its MUCH deeper than "No Country for Old Men," though overall I think I liked "No Country for Old Men" slightly more -- just because of all the AWESOME action sequences in it.

I HOPE Ellen Page wins for her performance as Juno McGruff, she's a rough girl to like, but it worked on me.

Tavis, VERY impressed by you Oscar know how. I think it's safe to say, you're a movie nut. (Which is GOOD THING, I meant that as a compliment)

- E.C. Henry from Bonney Lake, WA

 
At 7:05 PM, Blogger Tavis said...

Oh, stop with the compliments, E.C., you're making me blush!

 
At 9:45 PM, Blogger Patrick J. Rodio said...

EC makes everybody blush. Also, EC, Scott picked what he thought would win. Not his personal choices. Be funny if Christie & Cottaird split some votes and Page moved in for a surprise win.

But for the most part, it seems rpetty predictable.

 
At 3:14 AM, Blogger Matt said...

"Storywise its (Juno) MUCH deeper than "No Country for Old Men,"

Did I just have a stroke?

 
At 9:52 AM, Blogger Tavis said...

Matt--

One story is about a single individual coming to a realization about their place in the world and what it means to them and what they are going to do about the direction their new life is taking them.

The other is about a relentless psychopath determined to prove to anyone who stands in their way that they are the ultimate badass and shouldn't be fucked with-- and who is right no matter what anyone thinks-- even when talking on their hamburger phone.

And you can't tell which film is deeper?

 
At 10:46 AM, Blogger Matt said...

Tavis,

That was awesome. Thanks for clearing it up for me.

 
At 9:03 PM, Blogger Patrick J. Rodio said...

I didn't have a stroke but may have soiled meself.

 
At 10:02 PM, Blogger LHOOQtius ov Borg said...

"I just don't see what was so special about the Juno screenplay. Good movie, but I think the script is extremely overrated."

Regardless of what one thinks of the script (I think it's better than many detractors claim, but not as good as others seem to believe), I think this was a safe bet because this award is quickly becoming the award which should be titled as such: "Best indie film distributed, and heavily promoted, by a major distributor, which the Academy liked, but isn't going to honestly consider giving Best Picture or Best Director, so since nobody cares about writers all that much anyway, let's just give it Best Screenplay and be done with it already Award."

 

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