ALLIGATORS IN A HELICOPTER

a pro script reader ponders movies, reading, writing and the occasional personal flashback

Friday, July 18, 2008

Weekend Box Office #93

It's going to be a busy weekend at the cinemas.

THE DARK KNIGHT (4366 theaters). I haven't heard anything but good buzz for this, and only the sense that it is rather bleak and doesn't seem like a kids' movie is going to keep it from putting up mega-huge numbers this weekend. Still, my guess is that it'll do about $89 million.

MAMMA MIA! (2976 theaters). I was semi-into seeing this, but the LA Times review today was underenthused. I have a feeling that when push comes to shove, the date-nighters might go to see The Dark Knight. Still, figure it'll do about $15.4 million.

SPACE CHIMPS (2511 theaters). Never underestimate a kids' movie, though its audience seems limited to those who have already seen Kung Fu Panda and Wall-E and don't want to see them again. $5.1 million.

16 Comments:

At 2:39 PM, Anonymous Lee said...

Scott, are you really that out of touch? The Dark Knight has at least that much in advance ticket sales, and did over $18 million in overnight Thursday shows alone. It's not some industry secret. The question is whether it will do $130 million or (more likely) set a new weekend record with over $151 million.

 
At 3:22 PM, Anonymous James said...

I have to agree that I think it'll easily crack 100 million. It's well deserved too, since it's easily the best comic-to film ever - imho.

I agree as well that it might keep some people away with how twisted and dark it is, but not enough.

This one will be in the top 10 openings ever.

 
At 4:47 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Re the Dark Knight prediction: seriously???? Are you not counting the Friday midnight/3 am/ 6 am screenings?

 
At 4:52 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Scott, you fucked up on this one.

 
At 7:47 PM, Blogger Patrick J. Rodio said...

Man, tough crowd. God forbid you have an opinion,b ut I do think it will be high.

My guess for the Batman:
138 million.

 
At 8:00 PM, Blogger PJ McIlvaine said...

It's done 60 mill today alone, may even be higher. I'm saying could be close to $150 mill.

$89 mil, nah. Too low.

 
At 9:25 PM, Blogger E.C. Henry said...

"The Dark Knight" ROCKS! Maybe the best movie of the year, worth all the pub it gets. If you haven't seen it yet, GO SEE IT. Won't say much more about it, though after watching it after work I could gush on it for hours. (I LOVE IT when Hollywood's best knock one out of the park) Hopefully Scott will go see and post on it. I'd LOVE to hear a pro break this one down.

"Momma Mia" looks like fun. I'm like ga-ga goo-goo in love with Meryl Streep, so I need no arm twisting. And from the promos and previews it looks like Meryl is having a ball in this one.

Would only sit through "Space Chimps" if abducted by alien terrorists, strapped to a chair and forced to either stare at the sun or a TV playing "Space Chimps." O who am I kidding, even then I probably chose the sun over "Space Chimps."

- E.C. Henry from Bonney Lake, WA

P.S. I'm with Rodio, "tough crowd." Show ma-man some love. So he's only right 99 percent of the time--like any of you do it beter!

 
At 9:13 AM, Blogger Scott the Reader said...

Hey, I never said I was "in touch". I don't listen at water coolers or hunker over Daily Variety. I make seat-of-the-pants predictions that generally aren't based on more than my gut feeling.

My gut was off on this one. Must have been the jalapenos.

Dark Knight made a record $66 million on Friday alone, counting the post-midnight shows early Friday AM.

I guess it's a perfect storm of anticipation, execution and lack of real competition. Good for them. I can't wait to see it (though I hate lines, so I'm not sure when that'll be).

Regarding Mamma Mia, E.C., apparently that's the main problem with the film -- the cast has way more fun than the audience.

 
At 10:42 AM, Blogger Travis Fields said...

I'm told that Batman MUST be seen
at the Universal IMAX.

What's amazing (to me) about its apparently massive incoming take this weekend is that Batman's in theaters at the same time an awful lot of other hit movies are out there.

All but 2 movies of the top 11 are hits!

 
At 3:04 PM, Blogger Jimmy said...

I saw Batman at the IMAX last night at 11pm and a line formed at 7pm. The IMAX footage is incredible! All helicopter shots of the city have such magnificent detail it's like you're right there flying over the city. I am so serious.

 
At 8:08 PM, Blogger Merriweather said...

I think it will break the record and pass the $150M mark. The film is that good. Seriously.

What is going to put this movie over the top is the repeat viewings! Very similar to Star Wars in that respect.

 
At 11:33 AM, Blogger EddieM said...

E.C. should have his own blog. :-)

 
At 5:30 PM, Blogger Merriweather said...

Over $155 Million --- A new record!

 
At 10:27 PM, Blogger E.C. Henry said...

Very nice comment, eddiem. Why aren't there MORE bloggers like you?!

I don't have my own blog because I am a NOBODY! Sure I have a lot to say, BUT I really have no platform by which to say anything with any autority whatsoever.

I'm just a pre-pro writer trying to deepen my craft, I'm willig to say a lot of things, and take a few shots alongs the way, because that's how you grow. You have to put yourself out there to see how your unique look at life stacks up against your fellow peirs, of whom I have a lot of respect for.

- E.C. Henry from Bonney Lake, WA

PS eddiem, if you're ever in Bonney Lake, WA look me up, I'll buy ya a beer, but if you're not of age we'll just hafta make that a sasperilla!

 
At 10:08 AM, Blogger Host said...

Because of the way the money is divided, I always make a point of going to see the movies I want to support during their opening weekends. I am very pleased to know that I helped make the Dark Knight the box office record-breaking movie :)

And when I really really love the movie, I make a point of going to see it later again to encourage the Montreal cinemas to show the kind of movies I love :)

Yay Dark Knight!

(actually, I'm going to see it again tonight, too)

 
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